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(100*(p^2) + 99*(p^2) + 98 + 0*((100-p)^2)) / (((100-p)^2) + 1 + 2*(p^2) ) = 98
(100*(p^2) + 99*(p^2) + 98 + 0*((100-p)^2)) / (((100-p)^2) + 1 + 2*(p^2) ) = 98
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